As expected there is more unsettling news for gamers who were hoping that the GPU shortage situation would rather improve later this year. Because according to several industry analysts, GPU stock is going to suffer through until 2022, and because the demand for chips now exceeds supply by about 30%, it will take almost three or four quarters for the supply to catch up with the demand.
This means that chip shortages are going to last till 2022, at the very least.
Your chances of buying an AMD, Intel, or Nvidia gaming GPU might get affected by this market trend, and we already know the current demand and supply condition, and it has been almost nigh impossible to buy a gaming GPU/CPU or a console since last year or so.
However, despite the issue of supply, the stock value of chip makers has reached a record high during this time, though we are not concerned about this issue. According to J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur, coming via MarketWatch, demand is currently between 10% and 30% all time high than the current output, which could take up to a year for foundries to catch up.
Even though once that period is over, it could take an additional three to six months getting the chips into the hands of chipmakers like Intel, AMD, and Nvidia, and to replenish all the distribution channels as well.
Since last year’s pandemic disrupted the world’s economy, the demand for semiconductors is generally at an all-time high. Furthermore, these chips are getting more complex as well as harder to produce.
“We believe semi companies are shipping 10% to 30% below current demand levels and it will take at least 3-4 quarters for supply to catch up with demand and then another 1-2 quarters for inventories at customers/distribution channels to be replenished back to normal levels,” said Harlan Sur, an analyst with J.P. Morgan.
Harlan Sur further added that the demand for GPUs is 10-30% greater than how many cards are actually being made (amount of chips produced).
According to Financial analyst Christopher Rolland of the Susquehanna International Group, chip shortages could get even worse as we head into spring, after countries cease lockdowns and economies restart.
Moreover, Areej from Hardware Times has reported that AIBs like Gigabyte, Asus, MSI, and others are currently receiving fewer than 20 units of Nvidia RTX 3080 graphics cards per country in the South Asian region, with China being the only exception with around 100 units this month.
I have also mentioned earlier that the availability of Nvidia’s RTX 30-series “Ampere” GPU lineup is going to get worse by Q1 2021.
Maribel Lopez, principal analyst at Lopez Research, explains that the current semiconductor industry is facing a “perfect storm” of demand and supply, which is unlikely to be resolved anytime soon.
“Unless we have a major economic meltdown, which is obviously possible, one of the things that’s happening right now is that almost anything you buy is going to have a chip in it. You can’t buy a dumb product.”- Maribel Lopez.
Matthew Sheerin, an analyst with Stifel had to say this:
“We do not see any major correction on the horizon, given ongoing supply constraints as well as continued optimism about improving demand in 2H21. We remain more concerned with continued supply disruptions, and increased materials costs, than we do an imminent multi-quarter inventory correction.”
TSMC plans to spend and invest $28 billion to expand its facilities throughout the year, but it’ll take months to build and install the equipment needed to fabricate these chips.
We also know by now that Scalping has become one of the most frustrating things to happen lately, which in turn has affected and disrupted the whole PC hardware and the console gaming market as well.
Scalpers had the opportunity to buy a product for the sole purpose of just making a profit out of it, and more specifically for selling it at a much higher price than the initial MSRP. On top of that, the astronomical rise in the price of cryptocurrency has started another “Mining craze” resulting in severe GPU shortages and price hikes lately. Sadly, this whole situation is not going to improve anytime soon.
It has been nigh impossible to buy any gaming GPU or CPU at least at the minimum MSRP rate set by companies. The demand continues to outstrip supply thus leading to a global shortage of these gaming cards. This is going to get worse further down the line, which certainly is bad news for gamers.
To sum this up, the current situation of demand outweighing supply is predicted to last for another three or four quarters, and then followed by a further one or two quarters “before” inventories can reach normal levels.
So it’ll be sometime in 2022 before the whole global industry gets back to normal, hopefully. But I digress.
Stay tuned for more tech news!
Hello, my name is NICK Richardson. I’m an avid PC and tech fan since the good old days of RIVA TNT2, and 3DFX interactive “Voodoo” gaming cards. I love playing mostly First-person shooters, and I’m a die-hard fan of this FPS genre, since the good ‘old Doom and Wolfenstein days.
MUSIC has always been my passion/roots, but I started gaming “casually” when I was young on Nvidia’s GeForce3 series of cards. I’m by no means an avid or a hardcore gamer though, but I just love stuff related to the PC, Games, and technology in general. I’ve been involved with many indie Metal bands worldwide, and have helped them promote their albums in record labels. I’m a very broad-minded down to earth guy. MUSIC is my inner expression, and soul.
Contact: Email
my friend laughed at when i got 5700XT . he said i will buy the next gen GPUs and i will have more power for same money … well .. hees still using a GTX 1060
F
lol
Kids nowadays.
This is getting really depressing now!
Eh… it’s only going to make the return to normality that much sweeter.
huhu good thing i did not follow my initial plan.
Yea, PC gaming will die off if this continues. My friend is without a video card for months now and he cant play any games. I sure know i wont buy a new one at those crazy prices too (1000$ for a 3060?? DAFUQ)
Consoles didnt kill PC gaming at least, this new BS did
consoles are also affected..
Yeah, thats true and also cards and soon laptops and phones from what i read. Still, its much easier to buy consoles, even old ones. Here i cant find ANY graphic card. Literally 0. I can get a lot of consoles tho… soo its not as bad.
Because……. consoles don’t need the same silicon that PC’s do? Logic………..?
People with broken hardware are worse off than anyone. If your GPU dies, you basically can’t use your PC unless you have an iGPU or you buy a entry level gpu just to use your display, which are probably running out of stock as well. PC Gaming will be hanging by a thread by the end of this year.
The options are to slum it with your old gpu (and play old games in the backlog) or find a new hobby that isn’t infested with scalping.
Indeed. Thats kind of what i meant. Finally someone thats not bashing me and gets me. Thumbs up!
PC gaming will never die off. YOu shut your whorish mouth.
Tardy, its not dead but at the same time there is nothing TO BUY FOR AGES (AND IT WILL CONTINUE FOR A LOT LONGER).
I got friends that are HUGE PC gamers and they cant buy a computer AT ALL.
What do you call that? They literally play phone games cus of that now ROFL. But yea, PC gaming is bigger than ever and it wont die, thats not my point. My point is, no hardware to buy = good luck at gaming. Even for me, i changed 3 graphic cards cus they died off after a year or 2.
Soo, shut ur rtarded brain, also blocked. F off /wave
Are you on drugs?
You couldn’t be anymore wrong if you tried. PC Gaming hardware & digital game sales made more money last year than any previous year, PC hardware sales were almost double that of all PlayStation sales, Steam broke the record for concurrent monthly users weeks ago for 2021, and the resource scarcity affects the availability of the new consoles as well.
Yea sure, but if this continues for as long as people predict? Then what? I can’t get any replacement card over here for many months. Even second hand. The ones i can are outrageously expensive.. like 5-10 times more… soo, might as well be dead. Consoles and laptops are a no go for me
P.s. That already happened to 2 of my friends. I’m praying my hardware will last a year (or 2) more.
my dream of owning a 3060 Ti has gone down the drain…
get the 6700xt huhuhuhuhu
that was your dream? Not even a 3070?
right now its crazy & scary to see the prices of all these mid high end gpu online
Totally mismanaged tech industries. CEOs should be fired for not reacting with proper and prompt results.
They are reaching record profits for now. That is the sole aim of any business. They won’t rectify the scalper issue until they have too. Who knows how many years that will take?
If ever. If they can find a way to make scalpers part of their profit, you can bet they will. The very problem with endless greed.
this is where streaming services could have shined, no need for a beefy gpu just internet speed.
Anyone who wants a high-end GPU, has absolutely zero interest in compressed faux HD video, and internet grade latency in their game functionality. This is to say nothing of the hilarious flux that “cloud gaming” is perpetually in.
What you can play today, is not what you can play tomorrow, and they can’t hold games on their “service” indefinitely.
“Streaming”, has no future, as it will always be decades behind commonplace tech, in terms of visual fidelity, and functionality.
I wonder how this is going to affect game developers’ plans when releasing games soon that require newest hardware to make the games shine.
Lol, this sucks ! How much more worse can this become now ? I think after few years, I will QUIT playing games altogether. My OLD GPU won’t last forever, and if this market trend continues till 2022 and beyond, then we are doomed !
I don’t want to play games on CONSOLES ! though, I have been hearing similar stock issues with these as well.
Intel should use this strange situation and build some average GPU at own fabs as soon as possible. They won’t have better time. Even if that GPU won’t be as fast as Ampere still can be a lot cheaper and easily available
This is why the move to 450nm waffers are critical step across the entire Semi-Conductor Industry, along with expanding the manufacturing supply chain into North America.
The shortages aren’t going to subside until Intel gets its 10nm process working with decent yields. Nothing else on the horizon has the potential to increase chip capacity significantly in the next year or so.
Hopefully, Intel will get it right this year and we’ll see Alder Lake and Sapphire Rapids early next year.
lol
intel cant help with this
The shortages aren’t going to subside. They are permanent. The impact that miners are having on prices probably will subside but if you are planning on buying a card then prepare to pay way over the MSRP from a scalper and make sure you get a receipt and also watch out for manufacturers that don’t all a warranty transfer.
So the shortage is going to go on for another year ! As expected. Late last year they
were saying the problem would be solved by now. A month ago, they were saying things would get better in the spring. A few weeks ago it was summer. Now, next year.
I’ll say it again: Welcome to the new normal. the demand for computing hardware is going to stay strong because there are so many applications for it and so many industries transforming to newer technology.
The US government needs to get serious about increasing domestic supply. We cannot just rely upon TSMC. Proposed fabs in Texas and New York need to be fast tracked and built ASAP.
I don’t care which party is in charge or who gets credit for what — fix the supply chain and stop kicking the can down the road. Likewise, the EU needs to get its supply up too. We all could use some anti-scalping laws too given that scalpers and miners completely own the sales channels now.
Scalpers and miners pay for the product too and [SPOILER] capitalists only care about profit.
Enjoy this sh*t.
I’ll be stuck with my rtx 2080 for a couple of years it seems. Not only cause stock shortages also cause I live in Argentina and it is a bottomless crysis pit.
lol, “stuck”
The whole capitalist world is stuck in an ever-growing economic crisis so you’re not alone there. RTX2080 will surely last you a couple of years unless you’re playing at 4K high refresh.
I know I’ll keep using my 3600 and RYX2070 Super for as long as it’s financially feasible.
Could this actualy FORCE devolpers to actually optimize thier games now? I mean hardware is basicly paused now and no one is buying anything and keeping what they have right now, may actually force devs to build for lower end specs.
My thoughts!
Agreed, nothing stopping them from making good looking games with low spec graphics.
I’m just glad I have a heavy interest in retro gaming. This won’t affect me much whatsoever. Just got Zen 2 and RTX 2080 a couple years back, and I’m perfectly fine for the foreseeable future.
Unfortunately, not everyone is in the same boat as I am. Hopefully this won’t last as long as expected, and something may help accelerate to meet demand.
I keep trying but I just never manage to get one.
this is a great time to wait for the sheep to push the stock price down so that smart money can buy at discounted price.
I can’t find a 3080 for less than $3000.
Sucks because how many gamers were preparing to upgrade to the 3080 just before this all happened… I know I was. My system has been all ready for the new beast and I’ve held off starting any new games. Stuck with a 980 FML.
And here’s the thing – they say it will take a further 3-4 quarters to get back to normal, but that doesn’t mean it will open a floodgate on that date. Stock will continue to increase gradually throughout that period. And WOULDN’T IT BE NICE if Amazon and Best Buy and many other online retailers decided to stop selling cards at twice their MSRP during that time as some kind of apology to the millions of customers that have been patiently waiting?
Not gunna happen… Money talks
10-30% MY A*S. So only 1-3 people out of ten can’t get the GPU they want? Total horseshit. The biggest insult is companies continuing their promotional media campaign like all is normal. So tired of seeing nVidia commercials and announcements when they know damn well they don’t have the supply. Tone deaf is an understatement. Even worse, they know they have a virtual monopoly, so f*k the customer and march on.
We also know by now that Scalping has become one of the most frustrating
things to happen lately, which in turn has affected and disrupted the
whole PC hardware and the console gaming market as well.
The corpos could stop scalping, but they won’t. They don’t care who buys as long as someone does.
I think the new TV models are going to be scalped also.
Hello Paul, what’s up ? I miss the good ‘ol Windows XP days though !
I have been only playing all OLD classic PC games, on my Windows 7 OS machine, since past few years or so. Not interested in latest AAA/AA games, except some indie titles.
I too want to re-install XP OS, but I also want an entry level GPU for that PC, but sadly no latest GPU will have drivers for this OS. I need to find a very old GPU for my rig, ’cause my RX 480 won’t cut the mustard either.
Also, my i7 4790 CPU lacks iGPU, so I can’t even game on integrated graphics, My current Motherboard might also need a downgrade it seems, lol.
The 98/XP collective era, was a great time for games really. Tons of great stuff during the mainstream of those two versions of Windows.
I’m actually looking into finally doing the same thing myself. Build a 100% compatible XP machine.
Asus A7V series, Athlon XP 3200+, Radeon 9800, 2-4GB RAM. This was my build back in the day, and of course now, I wish I had kept it. Oh well, that stuff isn’t terribly expensive atm.
Drop a PATA -> SATA adapter in it, and pretty much good to go from there.
XP was Microsoft’s crowning achievement It beat Windows ME (garbage OS) hands down and imo was better than even Win7. Vista……well I’d rather not re-visit that OS. MS did eventually fix it and manufacturers of components did eventually put out drivers for it and enough RAM for the OS on pre-builts but it was too late.
Totally agree ! Those XP days were really good. Games were also free from all the recent microtransactions, grinding, XP, always online feature, loot boxes, and whatnot which have plagued and doomed this entire industry.
Also, Windows XP was so user friendly ! .My previous rig which had the AMD FX 6300 processor was rocking XP OS. I sold that machine long back though.
It appears that the AMD R9 270X GPU has Windows XP drivers from AMD. I might get this card, as one retailer is having it in stock.
I replay classic games from the 90s and up and don’t run into issues on Win 10.
If you do an XP build then don’t go online except to download the games.
I run an I7 7700k with 16 GB RAM and a Z270 MOBO and a RTX 270 Super.
It’s a great card for me. Performs in the same range as a 1080 Ti
That’s cool and awesome ! Both Blood 2 and NOLF2 are classic games.
Right now, I’m playing UNREAL 2, AREA 51, and Project: SNOWBLIND ! Pretty good old school FPS titles.
After this I will start playing Brothers In Arms series, as well as OLD Call of Duty series, COD 1 and COD 2.
So you didn’t like Unreal 2 ? Why ? Because of the story, gameplay, or some other issue ? It’s not a bad shooter though. But i know everyone has got their own taste in gaming.
I also play Unreal GOLD as well as Unreal Tournament occasionally.
In fact I always think that if i had to tell a decade of the most important or best games in history, the golden era, it would be about half 90s to half 2000s, 95 to 05.
Also, about 2004 is when 3D graphics got to a baseline level decent enough to clearly enough portray artistic intention (levels, models, textures, etc) to the point of being comfortable to the user instead of confusing, not making you wonder “what is this area/thing supposed to be?”.
Indeed !
No it won’t be sometime in 2022 for a return to normalcy due to scalpers. This is permanent Metal Messiah unless the GPU manufacturers do something drastic and they won’t because it will cost them money in the short term. They will eventually react when their sales plummet due to upgraders being unable to buy cards at scalpers prices. Gaming will be in the sh*tter by then.
well im a glad i don’t need to worry about this bullshit anymore, bought my inno 3d 3070 for 575 euro’, and two days ago i bought myself a playstation 5 (yea after like 6 months trying…) damn what a f*ked up year!
these chip shortages are done on purpose to raise prices so can make higher profits!
A friend of mine walked into his PC hardware store in early November… got the 3080 (Galax) for almost MSRP. There was stock for 1 more and he asked me if I wanted it, and I said “Nahhhh…. I’ll just wait for a better brand. Maybe even 3080 Ti would be announced then.” A few months later, the reality hits. And I mean, the “real” reality of the way things were going. He also upgraded from a 1080 Ti (which current value is at an all time high – – and he’s still keeping the GPU, smart guy). He could easily sell it and now is the best time.
Suddenly patience doesn’t pay anymore… unless you’re a saint. I predicted mid 2021 for things to get back to “normal”, but with the mining craze + demand>supply + pandemic issues, we are in for another sh***y year.
I’ll just be sticking with my good old PS4 + 1080 Ti PC until 2022… hopefully it lasts until then. One thing is for sure – – to helll with scalpers and no way I’m paying more than MSRP for a 3080.
WOW!! I thought this will only last Q2/Q3 of this year!! What a GREAT Year to have!!
Im never going to get to upgrade from my 1060 6gb 🙁 .
google maps yorum sat?n al hizmeti ile googledeki s?ralaman?z? yükseltin ve daha çok mü?teri toplay?n